{"id":10919,"date":"2024-04-04T08:39:59","date_gmt":"2024-04-04T06:39:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hu.andersen.com\/?p=10919"},"modified":"2025-06-19T10:56:46","modified_gmt":"2025-06-19T08:56:46","slug":"energiaszektor-adooptimailizalas-matuss-gabor-andersen-interju","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hu.andersen.com\/hu\/hirek\/energiaszektor-adooptimailizalas-matuss-gabor-andersen-interju\/","title":{"rendered":"Ad\u00f3optimaliz\u00e1l\u00e1ssal cs\u00f6kkenthetik terheiket az energiaszektor szerepl\u0151i"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Matuss G\u00e1bor, az Andersen Ad\u00f3tan\u00e1csad\u00f3 Zrt. partnere k\u00f6zel 20 \u00e9ve ad tan\u00e1csokat az energiaszektor szerepl\u0151inek. Ebben a min\u0151s\u00e9gben \u00e9lte v\u00e9gig a 2008-2009-es gazdas\u00e1gi v\u00e1ls\u00e1got, az ut\u00e1na k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 konjunkt\u00fara id\u0151szak\u00e1t, majd a glob\u00e1lis energiapiac elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben tapasztalt vitust\u00e1nc\u00e1t. A szektort \u00e9rint\u0151 r\u00f6vid t\u00e1v\u00fa kih\u00edv\u00e1sokr\u00f3l \u00e9s kock\u00e1zatokr\u00f3l besz\u00e9lgett\u00fcnk vele.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

(Az interj\u00fa a Budapest Business Journal<\/a> \u00e1ltal szerkesztett „TOP Executives – The Most Influental Energy Executives in Hungary 2024” kiadv\u00e1nyban jelent meg el\u0151sz\u00f6r).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az energiapiac jelen\u00e9nek meg\u00e9rt\u00e9s\u00e9hez \u00e9rdemes \u00e1ttekinteni az elm\u00falt p\u00e1r \u00e9v t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u00e9seit. Meddig menj\u00fcnk vissza az id\u0151ben ehhez?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A piac destabiliz\u00e1ci\u00f3ja l\u00e9nyeg\u00e9ben 2021-ben kezd\u0151d\u00f6tt. A Covid ut\u00e1ni gazdas\u00e1gi \u00fajraindul\u00e1s hirtelen vil\u00e1gszerte nagy keresletet gener\u00e1lt a villamos energia \u00e9s a f\u00f6ldg\u00e1z ir\u00e1nt, ami jelent\u0151s \u00e1remelked\u00e9shez vezetett. Ezzel p\u00e1rhuzamosan a k\u00edn\u00e1lati oldal is cs\u00f6kkent, hiszen sz\u00e1mos, a vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny idej\u00e9n elhalasztott karbantart\u00e1si munk\u00e1t kellett p\u00f3tolni az er\u0151m\u0171vekben \u00e9s a h\u00e1l\u00f3zati infrastrukt\u00far\u00e1ban. Sz\u00f3t kell ejteni arr\u00f3l is, hogy Oroszorsz\u00e1g \u00e9pp 2021-ben kezdte el cs\u00f6kkenteni az Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ba ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3 g\u00e1zexportj\u00e1t, nyilv\u00e1nval\u00f3an nyom\u00e1sgyakorl\u00e1si c\u00e9llal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 fejezetet az orosz-ukr\u00e1n h\u00e1bor\u00fa kit\u00f6r\u00e9se jelentette. Ez volt az egyetlen t\u00e9nyez\u0151, amely a rekordszintre emelte a f\u00f6ldg\u00e1z \u00e9s a villamos energia vil\u00e1gpiaci \u00e1r\u00e1t 2022-ben?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A k\u00e9plet \u00f6sszetett. Eur\u00f3pa \u00e9vtizedeken \u00e1t hatalmas mennyis\u00e9g\u0171 f\u00f6ldg\u00e1zt import\u00e1lt Oroszorsz\u00e1gb\u00f3l, \u00edgy a kontinens kitetts\u00e9ge, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen N\u00e9metorsz\u00e1g\u00e9 \u00e9s a k\u00f6z\u00e9p-kelet-eur\u00f3pai orsz\u00e1gok\u00e9 nagy volt. A h\u00e1bor\u00fa eszkal\u00e1ci\u00f3ja \u00e9s a k\u00f6lcs\u00f6n\u00f6s szankci\u00f3k bevezet\u00e9se \u00f3ri\u00e1si dr\u00e1gul\u00e1st id\u00e9zett el\u0151 a vil\u00e1g g\u00e1zpiac\u00e1n. Erre j\u00f6tt r\u00e1 a spekul\u00e1ci\u00f3, a t\u0151zsdei k\u00f6rnyezet bizonytalans\u00e1ga \u00e9s az alternat\u00edv energiaforr\u00e1sok korl\u00e1tozott el\u00e9rhet\u0151s\u00e9ge, ezek egy\u00fcttesen eredm\u00e9nyezt\u00e9k a rekordokat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az \u00e1rak az\u00f3ta jelent\u0151sen zuhantak, b\u00e1r m\u00e9g mindig b\u0151ven a 2021 el\u0151tti szint felett vannak. V\u00e1rhat\u00f3 m\u00e9g tov\u00e1bbi cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A helyzet val\u00f3ban stabiliz\u00e1l\u00f3dott. Az el\u0151z\u0151 t\u00e9l szokatlanul enyhe volt, 2023 tavasz\u00e1n a kontinens g\u00e1zt\u00e1rol\u00f3i viszonylag magas t\u00f6lt\u00f6tts\u00e9gen \u00e1lltak. R\u00e1ad\u00e1sul tavaly ny\u00e1ron az eur\u00f3pai ipar visszaes\u00e9se miatt az energia ir\u00e1nti kereslet is cs\u00f6kkent. A rekordmagas \u00e1rak a lakoss\u00e1gi \u00e9s az ipari fogyaszt\u00f3kat is takar\u00e9koss\u00e1gra nevelt\u00e9k, \u00e9s \u00e9rdekeltt\u00e9 tett\u00e9k \u0151ket az energiahat\u00e9konys\u00e1g n\u00f6vel\u00e9s\u00e9ben. \u00dagy v\u00e9lem, hogy a felsoroltak ellen\u00e9re tov\u00e1bbi sz\u00e1mottev\u0151 cs\u00f6kken\u00e9sre nem lehet sz\u00e1m\u00edtani, a Covid el\u0151tti energia\u00e1rak j\u00f3 es\u00e9llyel m\u00e1r nem t\u00e9rnek vissza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Milyen kock\u00e1zatokkal n\u00e9z szembe a glob\u00e1lis \u00e9s az eur\u00f3pai energiapiac 2024-ben?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A helyzet ugyan stabil, de tov\u00e1bbra is sz\u00e1mos kock\u00e1zati t\u00e9nyez\u0151vel kell sz\u00e1molni. A legnagyobb ezek k\u00f6z\u00fcl, hogy 2024 v\u00e9g\u00e9n j\u00e1r le a Moszkva \u00e9s Kijev k\u00f6z\u00f6tti g\u00e1zsz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1si meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1s, ami az Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ba ir\u00e1nyul\u00f3, Ukrajn\u00e1n kereszt\u00fcl \u00e9rkez\u0151 limit\u00e1lt orosz sz\u00e1ll\u00edtm\u00e1nyokat is v\u00e9gleg lez\u00e1rhatja. Ebb\u0151l a szempontb\u00f3l \u00f3ri\u00e1si jelent\u0151s\u00e9ge van, hogy meddig tart \u00e9s mennyire lesz hideg az idei t\u00e9l, illetve \u0151sszel mikor k\u00f6sz\u00f6nt be a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 hideg id\u0151szak, ami nagyban befoly\u00e1solja a g\u00e1zfogyaszt\u00e1st.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fontos k\u00e9rd\u00e9s az is, hogy a k\u00ednai gazdas\u00e1g mikor \u00e1ll ism\u00e9t mark\u00e1ns n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1ly\u00e1ra. Ez az\u00e9rt is \u00e9rdekes, mert az eur\u00f3pai orsz\u00e1gok f\u0151k\u00e9nt K\u00edn\u00e1val vannak versenyben az el\u00e9rhet\u0151 LNG kapacit\u00e1sok\u00e9rt, ami az orosz g\u00e1z egyik f\u0151 alternat\u00edv\u00e1ja. Befoly\u00e1solhatj\u00e1k a glob\u00e1lis energiapiacot a m\u00e1r zajl\u00f3 fegyveres konfliktusok is, \u00e9s azt se feledj\u00fck, hogy novemberben eln\u00f6kv\u00e1laszt\u00e1st tartanak az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamokban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Magyarorsz\u00e1g hogyan cs\u00f6kkentheti kitetts\u00e9g\u00e9t a kock\u00e1zatokkal szemben? Mik a magyar energiastrat\u00e9gia fontosabb c\u00e9lkit\u0171z\u00e9sei?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hossz\u00fat\u00e1v\u00fa c\u00e9l a hazai energiatermel\u00e9s dekarboniz\u00e1l\u00e1sa, ami csak az atomenergia \u00e9s a meg\u00fajul\u00f3 energia egy\u00fcttes alkalmaz\u00e1s\u00e1val lehets\u00e9ges. Kiemelt c\u00e9l m\u00e9g az importkitetts\u00e9g cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9se, ezzel egyid\u0151ben pedig a min\u00e9l sz\u00e9lesebb kapcsol\u00f3d\u00e1s el\u00e9r\u00e9se a r\u00e9gi\u00f3s \u00e1ram- \u00e9s f\u00f6ldg\u00e1zh\u00e1l\u00f3zatokhoz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Az orsz\u00e1g energiaig\u00e9ny\u00e9nek kiel\u00e9g\u00edt\u00e9se szempontj\u00e1b\u00f3l a strat\u00e9gia r\u00e9sz\u00e9t k\u00e9pezi egy nagy hangs\u00falyeltol\u00f3d\u00e1s, ami azt jelenti, hogy v\u00e1ltozni fog az egyes energiafajt\u00e1k ar\u00e1nya \u00e9s megn\u0151 az \u00e1ramtermel\u00e9s jelent\u0151s\u00e9ge. A korm\u00e1ny arra t\u00f6rekszik, hogy a villamosenergia-termel\u00e9s legnagyobb r\u00e9sze k\u00e9t forr\u00e1sb\u00f3l sz\u00e1rmazzon: atomenergi\u00e1b\u00f3l \u00e9s meg\u00fajul\u00f3 energi\u00e1b\u00f3l. Ehhez elengedhetetlen\u00fcl sz\u00fcks\u00e9ges a r\u00e9g\u00f3ta h\u00faz\u00f3d\u00f3 Paks II. beruh\u00e1z\u00e1s megval\u00f3s\u00edt\u00e1sa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hogyan alakul az elk\u00f6vetkezend\u0151 id\u0151szakban az orsz\u00e1g energiaig\u00e9nye?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A villamos energia ir\u00e1nti kereslet er\u0151teljesen n\u0151ni fog a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 6-10 \u00e9vben. \u00daj, energiaig\u00e9nyes termel\u0151egys\u00e9gek kezdik meg m\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00fcket, gondoljunk csak p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul az akkumul\u00e1torgy\u00e1rakra. A digitaliz\u00e1ci\u00f3, a kl\u00edmaberendez\u00e9sek sz\u00e1m\u00e1nak n\u00f6veked\u00e9se, az okosotthonok t\u00e9rnyer\u00e9se \u00e9s az egyre t\u00f6bb elektromos aut\u00f3 miatt a lakoss\u00e1gi energiafogyaszt\u00e1s is emelkedni fog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Milyen kih\u00edv\u00e1sokat t\u00e1maszt mindez a h\u00e1l\u00f3zati infrastrukt\u00far\u00e1val szemben?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A naper\u0151m\u0171vek terjed\u00e9se mellett a folyamatosan n\u00f6vekv\u0151 rendszerterhel\u00e9s \u00e9s \u00e1ramfogyaszt\u00e1s miatt nem od\u00e1zhat\u00f3 tov\u00e1bb az orsz\u00e1gos villamosenergia-rendszer moderniz\u00e1ci\u00f3ja. Tarthatatlan, hogy az ipari beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sok eset\u00e9n jelenleg az is d\u00f6nt\u00e9si szempont, hogy a tervezett \u00fczemegys\u00e9g hol tud megfelel\u0151 m\u00f3don r\u00e1csatlakozni a h\u00e1l\u00f3zatra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A mind nagyobb ar\u00e1nyt k\u00e9pvisel\u0151 meg\u00fajul\u00f3k termel\u00e9si ingadoz\u00e1sai miatt megn\u0151 az \u00fan. kiegyenl\u00edt\u00e9si energia szerepe, amelyet f\u0151k\u00e9nt tov\u00e1bbra is a g\u00e1zer\u0151m\u0171vek lesznek k\u00e9pesek ell\u00e1tni. Emellett egyre nagyobb jelent\u0151s\u00e9ge lesz a hazai energiat\u00e1rol\u00e1si kapacit\u00e1sok fejleszt\u00e9s\u00e9nek is. A nemr\u00e9g ki\u00edrt lakoss\u00e1gi napelemes p\u00e1ly\u00e1zat m\u00e1r olyan rendszerek ki\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9t t\u00e1mogatja, amelynek a t\u00e1rol\u00f3berendez\u00e9s is r\u00e9sze, de egyre t\u00f6bb itthoni p\u00e9ld\u00e1t l\u00e1tunk az energiat\u00e1rol\u00e1s ipari hasznos\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ra is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A sz\u00fcks\u00e9ges h\u00e1l\u00f3zati fejleszt\u00e9sek elmarad\u00e1sa mennyire vezethet\u0151 vissza a szektort \u00e9rint\u0151 extra terhekre?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A hazai energiaszektor szerepl\u0151it egy sor k\u00fcl\u00f6nad\u00f3 s\u00fajtja<\/a>. Itt van p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a 2009-ben ideiglenes jelleggel bevezetett Robin Hood-ad\u00f3<\/a>, ami jelenleg az \u00e9rintett c\u00e9gek eredm\u00e9ny\u00e9nek 41%-\u00e1t viszi el. Ehhez j\u00f6n m\u00e9g a kiegyenl\u00edt\u0151 kapacit\u00e1sra kivetett k\u00fcl\u00f6nad\u00f3, a k\u00f6zm\u0171vezet\u00e9k ad\u00f3 \u00e9s p\u00e1r m\u00e1sik t\u00e9tel is, amelyek \u00f6sszess\u00e9g\u00e9ben azt eredm\u00e9nyezik, hogy j\u00f3val kevesebb forr\u00e1s \u00e1ll rendelkez\u00e9sre a beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sokra \u00e9s a fejleszt\u00e9sekre. Ebb\u0151l a szempontb\u00f3l l\u00e9nyeg\u00e9ben 10-15 \u00e9ves lemarad\u00e1sban vagyunk, amit nem k\u00f6nny\u0171 egyik pillanatr\u00f3l a m\u00e1sikra behozni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A szektort terhel\u0151 k\u00fcl\u00f6nad\u00f3k teh\u00e1t rontj\u00e1k a c\u00e9gek j\u00f6vedelmez\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9t, ez\u00e1ltal cs\u00f6kken a c\u00e9g\u00e9rt\u00e9k, mely negat\u00edv hat\u00e1ssal van a tulajdonosok befektet\u00e9seinek megt\u00e9r\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9re. Elemi sz\u00fcks\u00e9ge van \u00edgy az ipar\u00e1g szerepl\u0151inek az ad\u00f3optimaliz\u00e1ci\u00f3ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hogyan enyh\u00edthet\u0151k ezek a terhek?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A feladat nem egyszer\u0171, hiszen a felsorolt k\u00fcl\u00f6nad\u00f3k ilyen-olyan form\u00e1ban v\u00e1rhat\u00f3n tart\u00f3san vel\u00fcnk maradnak. Ennek ellen\u00e9re a szem\u00e9lyes tapasztalatom az, hogy az \u00e9rintett szerepl\u0151knek gyakorlatilag minden esetben van mozg\u00e1ster\u00fck. A jogszab\u00e1ly adta kereteken bel\u00fcl \u00e1ltal\u00e1ban valamennyi ad\u00f3nem kapcs\u00e1n tal\u00e1lni olyan optimaliz\u00e1ci\u00f3s lehet\u0151s\u00e9get, amely az adott c\u00e9g vagy csoport terheit jelent\u0151sen cs\u00f6kkentheti. A gyakori szab\u00e1lyv\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sok miatt r\u00e1ad\u00e1sul most k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen fel\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u0151dik az ipar\u00e1gi ismeretekkel is rendelkez\u0151 ad\u00f3tan\u00e1csad\u00f3k szerepe, akik naprak\u00e9sz tud\u00e1sukra \u00e9p\u00edtve k\u00edn\u00e1lhatnak szem\u00e9lyre szabott megold\u00e1sokat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Matuss G\u00e1bor, az Andersen partnere 20 \u00e9ve ad tan\u00e1csokat az energiaszektor szerepl\u0151inek. 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